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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Víkingsvöllur
M

Vikingur
3 - 3
Malmo

Fridleifur Gunnarsson (15', 74'), Hansen (56')
Orlygur Andrason (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Birmancevic (34'), Beijmo (44'), Christiansen (47')
Kiese Thelin (18'), Nielsen (45+2'), Olsson (60'), Rakip (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Malmo 3-2 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Varbergs
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-2 Malmo (Malmo win 5-3 on aggregate)

Malmo would have been frustrated not to make their extra man count for more in the first leg, but a fit-again and in-form Christiansen wearing the armband is a recipe for success for the visitors. The Allsvenskan champions can expect a hostile atmosphere at Vikingsvollur, but their recent spate of goal-laden showings can help them end the Vikingur dream, even if the Icelandic hosts can make things interesting with a goal on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Vikingur ReykjavikDrawMalmo
28.07% (-0.035 -0.04) 23.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 48.36% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)42.14% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Vikingur Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)63.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.034000000000006 0.03)17.61% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.060000000000002 0.06)48.19% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vikingur Reykjavik 28.07%
    Malmo 48.36%
    Draw 23.56%
Vikingur ReykjavikDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.07%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 48.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malmo 3-2 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Escaldes 0-1 Vikingur
Friday, June 24 at 8.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Levadia 1-6 Vikingur
Tuesday, June 21 at 8.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Vikingur
Thursday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Varbergs
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 3-2 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sundsvall 2-1 Malmo
Friday, July 1 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Helsingborg
Monday, June 27 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Degerfors 0-2 Malmo
Sunday, May 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 1-2 Hacken
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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