SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 16 | Helsingborg | 10 | -8 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Malmo | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 9 | 10 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Malmo |
24.42% ( -0.03) | 24% ( -0.54) | 51.58% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( 2.24) | 47.05% ( -2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( 2.05) | 69.29% ( -2.05) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 1.19) | 33.49% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( 1.28) | 70.12% ( -1.28) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( 1.08) | 18.24% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( 1.81) | 49.28% ( -1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.42% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.58% |
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