Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13

Jul 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
3 - 0
Varbergs

Inge Berget (45+6' pen.), Christiansen (64'), Birmancevic (87')
Birmancevic (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stanisic (60'), Lushaku (78'), Birkfeldt (81')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 81.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 5.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.03%) and 1-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
81.92% ( -0.04)	12.82% ( 0.02)	5.26% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 36.87% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.63% (

0.02)

40.36% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26% (

0.02)

62.73% (

-0.03)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.41% (

-0.01)

7.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.86% (

-0.01)

27.13% (

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.89% (

0.08)

60.1% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.29% (

0.04)

90.7% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Malmo 81.9%

Varbergs BoIS 5.26%

Draw 12.82%

Malmo	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 15.15% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 81.9%	1-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 12.82%	0-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 5.26%