Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 81.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 5.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.03%) and 1-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
