With Juve's ongoing absentee woes in the final and defensive third, a Danjuma-inspired Villarreal ought to sense a major opportunity to gain the upper hand in the tie amid their hot streak of form.
A wounded Bianconeri are not to be underestimated by any stretch, but their struggles without a full-strength squad were evident in the Torino derby draw, and we can see Emery's Villarreal taking a slender first-leg advantage to Turin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
