We said: Villarreal 1-1 Real Madrid
If Benzema was definitely available for this match then we would be backing Real Madrid to win 2-1, but the Frenchman is unlikely to feature, which will be a huge boost for Villarreal. The Yellow Submarine are chasing a top-four finish this term, and we believe that a tight match this weekend will finish all square.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
