We said: Elche 1-2 Villarreal
Elche's recent form has been impressive, with Francisco's side losing just one of their last five matches, but Villarreal are on a roll at the moment in Spain's top flight. We are expecting this to be a close contest but believe that Villarreal's superior quality to shine through to secure an important three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
