Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Young Boys win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.