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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
VL

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Villarreal

Garcia (14'), Muniain (77' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coquelin (32')
Foyth (55'), Moreno (76'), Estupinan (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
35.03%27.5%37.47%
Both teams to score 49.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62%56.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6%77.39%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.76%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96%29.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05%64.94%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 35.03%
    Villarreal 37.46%
    Draw 27.49%
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.78%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.46%

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