Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
35.03% | 27.5% | 37.47% |
Both teams to score 49.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.62% | 56.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.6% | 77.39% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% | 30.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% | 66.76% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% | 29.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% | 64.94% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: