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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
St Andrew's
QL

Birmingham
1 - 2
QPR

Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')

We said: Birmingham City 0-1 Queens Park Rangers

Birmingham find themselves on a wretched run of form heading into this one and will be severely lacking in creativity without McGree and Chong. QPR will be in high spirits after their late winner in midweek, and despite their opponents being the far fresher side, we can see them picking up a narrow win in their search for a playoff spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
33.66%27.89%38.45%
Both teams to score 47.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01%57.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31%78.68%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74%32.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24%68.75%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8%65.2%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.66%
    Queens Park Rangers 38.44%
    Draw 27.89%
Birmingham CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.59%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.44%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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