Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
