MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 19:20:37
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Thursday, March 28
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DL
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
BC

Derby
1 - 0
Bristol City

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
37.96%27.74%34.31%
Both teams to score 48.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65%57.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82%78.18%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83%65.17%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5%31.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11%67.89%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 37.95%
    Bristol City 34.3%
    Draw 27.74%
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.21%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.3%

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