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Inter Milan vs. Como: 21 hrs 20 mins
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DL
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
BC

Derby
1 - 0
Bristol City

Kazim-Richards (4')
Waghorn (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (54')

The Match

Match Report

County are now five points clear of the relegation zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
37.96%27.74%34.31%
Both teams to score 48.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65%57.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82%78.18%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83%65.17%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5%31.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11%67.89%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 37.95%
    Bristol City 34.3%
    Draw 27.74%
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.21%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.3%

Read more!
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
10
Bristol City
Derby
> Match Report
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
32
Bristol City
Derby
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
12
Derby
Bristol City
> Match Report
Jul 14, 2019 2.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
P-P
Bristol City
Derby
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
02
Bristol City
Derby
> Match Report
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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