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BC
Championship | Gameweek 41
Jul 4, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
CC

Bristol City
0 - 1
Cardiff


Smith (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ward (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
35.52%25.86%38.62%
Both teams to score 54.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36%49.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34%71.66%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05%59.95%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 35.52%
    Cardiff City 38.62%
    Draw 25.86%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 35.52%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.62%


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