Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.