Despite some unacceptable results since the turn of the calendar year, Bristol City have shown the ability to rise to the big occasion at Ashton Gate, and we feel that the Robins could repeat the trick on Saturday.
Cardiff's win over struggling Stoke last time out was much needed, but we believe it does not signal a long-term change in fortunes for the Bluebirds during the remainder of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.01) 
