SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
52.14% ( 0.01) | 24.36% ( -0.16) | 23.5% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( 0.78) | 49.43% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( 0.7) | 71.47% ( -0.7) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( 0.3) | 18.93% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( 0.51) | 50.44% ( -0.51) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( 0.56) | 35.59% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( 0.57) | 72.36% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.5% |
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