Bristol City
3 - 2
Millwall

Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Millwall

Given Bristol City's track record at Ashton Gate, it is becoming increasingly difficult to back them to collect three points. The same applies to this game, and we expect Millwall to edge a close contest with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Millwall
26.38%	28.71%	44.91%

Both teams to score 42.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.94%

63.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.49%

82.51%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.38%

40.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79%

77.21%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9%

28.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23%

63.77%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 26.37%

Millwall 44.91%

Draw 28.7%

Bristol City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.3% Total : 26.37%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.7%	0-1 @ 14.48% 0-2 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-3 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.24% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.62% Total : 44.91%