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BC
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate
DL

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Derby County

With draws becoming less valuable by the game, Derby will push for all three points at Ashton Gate. However, that effort may not prove enough, and we are backing Bristol City to come away with at least a share of the spoils from this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
34.68%29.97%35.35%
Both teams to score 42.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35%65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.11%83.89%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75%35.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28%72%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2%34.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47%71.53%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 34.68%
    Derby County 35.34%
    Draw 29.96%
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 34.68%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.26%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.96%
0-1 @ 12.94%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 6.83%
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 35.34%

Read more!
Read more!


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