While Burnley are yet to establish their dominance in the Championship under Kompany's new style and Blackpool will travel with confidence after an impressive away win in midweek, we still fancy the hosts to take all three points. The Clarets should have slightly too much for their visitors, particularly with Appleton dealing with a depleted squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Blackpool
54.61% ( 3.98)	25.37% ( -1.24)	20.02% ( -2.74)

Both teams to score 44.92% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2% (

1.72)

56.81% (

-1.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26% (

1.36)

77.74% (

-1.36)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

2.42)

20.83% (

-2.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.49% (

3.66)

53.51% (

-3.66)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.73% (

-1.87)

43.27% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.49% (

-1.61)

79.52% (

1.61)

Score Analysis

Burnley 54.61%

Blackpool 20.02%

Draw 25.36%

Burnley	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 14.14% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.85) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.82) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.47) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.46) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.61%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.94) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.02%