Given the new eras which are commencing at each club, this is an extremely difficult match to call. Home advantage may work in Huddersfield's favour, but we cannot ignore the business that Burnley have conducted this summer. With that in mind, we are backing the Clarets to edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
-1.1) 
0.63) 
