Burnley impressed in their first game of the season, and we think that Kompany's side will have enough quality to beat Luton on Saturday, which would ensure the Clarets begin the campaign with consecutive victories.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.34) 
