MX23RW : Thursday, August 11 10:44:40
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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Turf Moor
Burnley
1 - 1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Potts (5')
Morris (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 2-0 Luton Town

Burnley impressed in their first game of the season, and we think that Kompany's side will have enough quality to beat Luton on Saturday, which would ensure the Clarets begin the campaign with consecutive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawLuton Town
41.59% (-0.28 -0.28) 28.07% (0.345 0.34) 30.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.999 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61% (-1.247 -1.25)59.39% (1.247 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (-0.968 -0.97)79.77% (0.96799999999999 0.97)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)28.13% (0.746 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (-0.957 -0.96)63.81% (0.956 0.96)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-0.712 -0.71)35.36% (0.712 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.748 -0.75)72.12% (0.748 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 41.59%
    Luton Town 30.33%
    Draw 28.07%
BurnleyDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.95% (0.459 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.33%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Burnley
Friday, July 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-3 Burnley
Friday, July 15 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, July 9 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Rochdale
Friday, July 1 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Luton
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, July 16 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bravo 1-2 Luton
Friday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hitchin Town 0-3 Luton
Friday, July 1 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
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