SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
25.5% ( -0.09) | 24.56% ( 0.09) | 49.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( -0.43) | 48.5% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( -0.39) | 70.63% ( 0.4) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( -0.3) | 33.36% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.02% ( -0.33) | 69.99% ( 0.34) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.16) | 19.44% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.71% ( -0.27) | 51.29% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 49.94% |
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