Watford can only be low on confidence after Wednesday's capitulation and we feel that could show in their performance. While Hull have struggled for wins themselves, the Tigers will fancy their chances of outworking the Hornets for the three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
