Despite defeat last time out, Hull will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Vicarage Road. However, Watford could emerge as an improved team after the World Cup break, leading us to predict a comfortable win for the Hornets.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.09) 
