SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Hull City |
66.49% ( -0.11) | 19.69% ( 0.11) | 13.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.81% ( -0.45) | 44.18% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.44% ( -0.44) | 66.56% ( 0.44) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( -0.17) | 12.39% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.74% ( -0.35) | 38.26% ( 0.35) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.37% ( -0.27) | 43.63% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( -0.22) | 79.82% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Hull City |
| 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 66.48% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.69% | 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 13.81% |
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