Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
43.56%	28.68%	27.76%

Both teams to score 43.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.65%

62.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.01%

81.99%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52%

28.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75%

64.25%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98%

39.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26%

75.74%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 43.55%

Luton Town 27.76%

Draw 28.67%

Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.25% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.6% Total : 43.55%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.67%	0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.5% Total : 27.76%