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ML
Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
B

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Barnsley

Howson (45+2'), Akpom (48')
Tavernier (9'), Morsy (27'), Howson (52'), McNair (61'), Saville (68'), Bettinelli (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Woodrow (89' pen.)
Styles (49'), Simoes (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
40.51%26.2%33.28%
Both teams to score 53.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55%51.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74%73.26%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3%59.69%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83%65.16%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 40.5%
    Barnsley 33.28%
    Draw 26.2%
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.28%


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