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EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Oakwell
NF

Barnsley
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Woodrow (49')
Williams (31'), Simoes (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawNottingham Forest
44.74%25.27%29.99%
Both teams to score 54.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37%48.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26%70.74%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27%21.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1%54.89%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86%66.13%
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 44.74%
    Nottingham Forest 29.99%
    Draw 25.27%
BarnsleyDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.74%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.52%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.99%


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