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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 18, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
BL

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Sporar (53' pen.)
McNair (66'), Taylor (77'), Jones (82'), Hernandez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cahill (43'), Billing (57')

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bournemouth

There will be those who feel that Middlesbrough are the marginal favourites for this contest, and it is difficult to argue against that. Nevertheless, Bournemouth will click back into gear at some stage, and they could be full value for a share of the spoils in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBournemouth
32.61%27.28%40.11%
Both teams to score 49.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12%55.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23%76.99%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.33%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72%27.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28%62.72%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.61%
    Bournemouth 40.11%
    Draw 27.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.11%

Read more!
Read more!


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