Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
41.9%	26.78%	31.33%

Both teams to score 50.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72%

54.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.32%

75.68%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41%

25.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.46%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.41%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 41.89%

Middlesbrough 31.33%

Draw 26.77%

Bournemouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.89%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.33%