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ML
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QL

Middlesbrough
2 - 3
QPR

Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
32.26%27.68%40.06%
Both teams to score 48.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53%57.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73%78.27%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05%32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47%69.52%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93%28.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27%63.72%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.25%
    Queens Park Rangers 40.05%
    Draw 27.68%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 11.74%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 7.47%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.05%

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