Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
