Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fulham in this match.