SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
38.43% ( 0.15) | 24.53% ( -0.03) | 37.05% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( 0.17) | 43.42% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( 0.17) | 65.82% ( -0.17) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.15) | 22.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 0.23) | 56.08% ( -0.23) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0.02) | 23.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% ( 0.02) | 57.13% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.05% |
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