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BC
Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
PA
Plymouth Argyle

Bristol City
4 - 1
Plymouth

Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Randell (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth are on a run of four defeats from five, while they have only drawn once in all competitions this season, but we are backing a stalemate here. Bristol City have shared the points in two of their last three Championship matches and might be forced to settle for another point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
42.1% (1.5 1.5) 24.93% (-0.121 -0.12) 32.97% (-1.384 -1.38)
Both teams to score 57.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (0.192 0.19)45.99% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.179 0.18)68.29% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.80500000000001 0.81)21.84% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.212 1.21)55.06% (-1.216 -1.22)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.74199999999999 -0.74)26.74% (0.74 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.989 -0.99)62.02% (0.986 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.1%
    Plymouth Argyle 32.97%
    Draw 24.92%
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.168 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.265 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Norwich
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-4 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship


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