Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.1% ( 1.5) | 24.93% ( -0.12) | 32.97% ( -1.38) |
Both teams to score 57.26% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( 0.19) | 45.99% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( 0.18) | 68.29% ( -0.18) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.81) | 21.84% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% ( 1.21) | 55.06% ( -1.22) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( -0.74) | 26.74% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( -0.99) | 62.02% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.97% |
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