SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Coventry City |
23.71% ( -0.24) | 26.54% ( -0.11) | 49.75% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( 0.2) | 57.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( 0.16) | 78.31% ( -0.16) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% ( -0.11) | 39.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% ( -0.1) | 76.57% ( 0.1) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0.24) | 23.22% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( 0.35) | 57.12% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.74% |
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