SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
39.8% ( 0.29) | 26.59% ( -0.04) | 33.61% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( 0.14) | 52.96% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( 0.12) | 74.56% ( -0.12) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( 0.22) | 26.09% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( 0.29) | 61.15% ( -0.29) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.08) | 29.75% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -0.1) | 65.82% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.61% |
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