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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
SL

Coventry
0 - 4
Stoke


Hamer (42'), Rose (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brown (6'), Campbell (40'), Smallbone (71'), Hoever (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-4 Coventry
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-0 Stoke City

Coventry are still in the hunt for the playoffs so will be highly motivated to earn maximum points against a Stoke side who are unlikely to have a dramatic end to their season. The Potters have impressed against the division's top outfits over the past month, but we see their unbeaten run coming to an end at the CBS Arena on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawStoke City
39.8% (0.285 0.29) 26.59% (-0.044 -0.04) 33.61% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 51.92% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (0.139 0.14)52.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (0.12 0.12)74.56% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.21899999999999 0.22)26.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (0.293 0.29)61.15% (-0.291 -0.29)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)29.75% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (-0.103 -0.1)65.82% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 39.79%
    Stoke City 33.61%
    Draw 26.58%
Coventry CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.79%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 1-4 Coventry
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Coventry
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Stoke
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Brighton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship


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