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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
41.29% ( -0.65) | 27.23% ( -0.18) | 31.48% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.03% ( 0.94) | 55.97% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.93% ( 0.76) | 77.07% ( -0.76) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.09) | 26.68% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( 0.11) | 61.94% ( -0.11) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( 1.09) | 32.72% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( 1.2) | 69.28% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.48% |
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