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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Leeds United |
26.85% ( -0) | 23.76% ( 0.01) | 49.4% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.58% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( -0.03) | 43.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.03) | 66.31% ( 0.03) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.02) | 29.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -0.03) | 65.96% ( 0.03) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.01) | 17.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( -0.02) | 48.68% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 26.85% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.4% |
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