SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Rotherham United |
53.62% ( 0.74) | 24.55% ( -0.28) | 21.82% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( 0.62) | 51.86% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 0.53) | 73.62% ( -0.53) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.53) | 19.28% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.97% ( 0.87) | 51.02% ( -0.87) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.11) | 38.55% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.7% ( -0.1) | 75.29% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.82% |
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