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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
LL

Stoke
1 - 0
Leeds

Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leeds United

Stoke City are bound to take some confidence from their return to winning ways at the weekend, but they face a Leeds United side who have an abundance of confidence and momentum. The Whites now look to be making their quality count under Farke, and we fancy them to make it four straight Championship wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
38.74% (-0.656 -0.66) 25.1% (0.417 0.42) 36.15% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-1.473 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (-1.917 -1.92)46.17% (1.913 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-1.837 -1.84)68.46% (1.831 1.83)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-1.185 -1.19)23.57% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-1.741 -1.74)57.64% (1.737 1.74)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.756 -0.76)24.96% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-1.059 -1.06)59.61% (1.055 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.74%
    Leeds United 36.15%
    Draw 25.1%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.391 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.463 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Southampton
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Stoke
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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