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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
WB

Rotherham
3 - 1
West Brom

Hugill (42', 50'), Fosu (76')
Coventry (48'), Rathbone (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (32' pen.)
Townsend (68'), Bartley (70'), Grant (74'), Chalobah (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Rotherham have fallen into a relegation battle in the Championship since the World Cup break, and a home fixture against a West Brom side who struggle on the road is a good opportunity to distance themselves from the bottom three. The Baggies simply need to start winning on their travels if they are to finish inside the top six this season, but we see Corberan's men only managing a draw in Yorkshire on Friday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
27.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0010000000000012 0) 47.89% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.67% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43%20.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 27.1%
    West Bromwich Albion 47.88%
    Draw 25%
Rotherham UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 8.34% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 West Brom
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-0 West Brom
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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