SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
46.29% ( 0.7) | 27.23% ( -0.43) | 26.49% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% ( 1.34) | 58.1% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% ( 1.04) | 78.76% ( -1.04) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.96) | 25.09% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( 1.3) | 59.79% ( -1.3) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.26% ( 0.51) | 37.74% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.49% ( 0.49) | 74.51% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.49% |
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