SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
44.67% ( -0.5) | 26.78% ( -0.23) | 28.55% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( 1.22) | 55.39% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( 0.99) | 76.59% ( -0.99) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( 0.3) | 24.68% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.78% ( 0.41) | 59.21% ( -0.41) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( 1.24) | 34.59% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( 1.29) | 71.31% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.55% |
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