SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
49.71% ( -2.38) | 25.7% ( 0.3) | 24.59% ( 2.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( 1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( 0.64) | 53.77% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( 0.54) | 75.24% ( -0.54) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( -0.75) | 21.66% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( -1.16) | 54.79% ( 1.16) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% ( 2.3) | 37.01% ( -2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.2% ( 2.22) | 73.8% ( -2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.68)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.71% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
