SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
63.21% ( 0.04) | 20.71% ( -0.03) | 16.08% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% ( 0.09) | 44.06% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( 0.09) | 66.44% ( -0.09) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.04) | 13.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.88% ( 0.08) | 40.12% ( -0.08) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% ( 0.04) | 40.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.96% ( 0.04) | 77.04% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 2-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.71% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.08% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
