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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
BC

Stoke
4 - 0
Bristol City

Cundle (25'), Campbell (45'), Manhoef (45+2', 49')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-2 Bristol City

With both teams having their Championship statuses confirmed for next season, we could see a free-flowing contest at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday. Stoke and Bristol City are both enjoying a fruitful run of form, and we reckon that the pair will play out an entertaining four-goal thriller to draw the curtain on their campaigns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
41.14% (-1.493 -1.49) 27.22% (0.587 0.59) 31.64% (0.895 0.9)
Both teams to score 49.42% (-1.433 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-1.994 -1.99)55.88% (1.984 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-1.65 -1.65)76.99% (1.638 1.64)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-1.697 -1.7)26.72% (1.686 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-2.29 -2.29)61.99% (2.279 2.28)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.39200000000001 -0.39)32.55% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.441 -0.44)69.09% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.14%
    Bristol City 31.64%
    Draw 27.21%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.645 0.65)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.628 0.63)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.299 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Stoke
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Huddersfield
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 5-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship


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