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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
SL

Bristol City
1 - 2
Stoke

Wells (33')
Weimann (76'), Semenyo (89'), Pring (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61'), Bonham (83'), Powell (84'), Campbell (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Stoke City

Given the level of inconsistency which has plagued each side this campaign, this is an extremely difficult match to call. Feel free to accuse us of sitting on the fence, but we can only predict a low-scoring draw, one which would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
35.73% (-1.61 -1.61) 27.84% (-0.183 -0.18) 36.43% (1.791 1.79)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.739 0.74)57.65% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (0.581 0.58)78.41% (-0.583 -0.58)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.631 -0.63)30.73% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.75 -0.75)66.99% (0.747 0.75)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (1.513 1.51)30.29% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (1.772 1.77)66.47% (-1.774 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 35.72%
    Stoke City 36.42%
    Draw 27.83%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.357 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Watford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, October 29 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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