For the first time in a while, Stoke can say that all the momentum is with them heading into a Championship fixture. Although we expect Bristol City to put up a fight in the Potteries, the home side should have enough to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Bristol City
60.41%	21.93%	17.66%

Both teams to score 51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39%

46.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12%

68.88%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02%

14.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.57%

43.43%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.98%

40.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.33%

76.67%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 60.41%

Bristol City 17.66%

Draw 21.92%

Stoke City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.44% Total : 60.41%	1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.92%	0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.66%