We said: Stoke City 0-2 Fulham
Regardless of who they are playing, it is simply not realistic to back against Fulham in second-tier action right now. While we feel that Stoke will put up a stronger fight than Fulham's previous opponents, we still expect another three points for the West Londoners.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
