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SL
Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
bet365 Stadium
DL

Stoke
1 - 2
Derby

Ince (78')
Wilmot (16'), Vrancic (61'), Tymon (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Plange (16'), Kazim-Richards (85')
Plange (59')

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Derby County

Regardless of the three-day turnaround, Derby should only benefit from taking on a team without match practice. All things considered, however, everything points to this contest ending in a low-scoring draw, a result which would not suit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
47.91%27.98%24.11%
Both teams to score 42.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.96%62.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.24%81.76%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91%26.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86%61.14%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9%42.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.47%78.52%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.9%
    Derby County 24.11%
    Draw 27.97%
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 14.75%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 24.11%

Read more!
Read more!


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