Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
